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In the more than 10 years StreetAuthority has been in business, we've never come across a trading system that's got this much potential.
In preparation for the inaugural issue of Maximum Profit, StreetAuthority's latest investment advisory, Michael J. Carr took a close look at all the holdings in all of StreetAuthority's newsletters -- more than 130 stocks, partnerships and trusts across 10 portfolios.
The mission was to discover the No. 1 ranked stock -- the stock that had the most potential for capital appreciation in the current climate -- from a group of fundamentally strong holdings that had already been vetted by the StreetAuthority experts.
Of the dozens of choices, which single pick would rise to the top? Which stock would show the greatest momentum and value in the current environment? Which current StreetAuthority holding would rank highest in Mike's all-important combined indicators of relative strength (RS) and cash flow growth?
It turns out the No. 1 ranked stock was actually nearly five years in the making.
In the fall of 2008, StreetAuthority's stock market strategists liked what they saw in a tiny aircraft leasing company based in Ireland.
Major global markets were in free fall at the time. However, this company was doing the lion's share of its business in some of the larger emerging markets such as China, India, Russia and Mexico, which were continuing to grow.
Moreover, according to High-Yield PRO, leasing companies stood to benefit from rising demand for used aircraft, as airlines sought to contain costs in a beleaguered environment.
On Monday, Oct. 20, 2008, FLY Leasing (NYSE: FLY) -- then known as Babcock & Brown Air -- was added to the High-Yield PRO portfolio at $8.03 a share.
Fast-forward five years and FLY's share price had more than doubled to $16.45. Including dividends, FLY's total return amounted to 155.3%, nearly twice the total return of the S&P 500 during the same span.
Over the past half-decade, FLY's sales have risen an average of 67% a year. Earnings growth has averaged 11% a year during that time. And free cash flow increased an average of 21.8% annually (180% in the past year alone).
It was that last metric -- cash flow growth -- in combination with a strong relative strength reading that catapulted FLY to the top of the rankings.
That's not all Mike liked about FLY Leasing:
"FLY is currently yielding 5.4%. As I pointed out last week, my system doesn't specifically look for income stocks, but nearly a third of the stocks that are potential buys currently have a yield greater than 4%. More than two-thirds of the stocks I look at pay a dividend.
FLY is also a value stock. FLY trades at a nearly 20% discount to its $20 book value. It's also likely that the book value actually understates what the company could sell its assets for. FLY has consistently sold its aircraft at the end of leases for more than 120% of their book value."
Recently, Mike issued a buy recommendation on FLY Leasing, based on the No. 1 ranking. Since then FLY has outperformed the broader market by 3 percentage points.
Every two weeks in Maximum Profit, Mike will rank all the stocks in all the StreetAuthority portfolios -- proven winners that show the strongest potential at that moment in time. His latest pick was revealed today.
From here, Mike will add eight more holdings to his Maximum Profit portfolio from the universe of StreetAuthority stocks, capping the total at 10. Going forward, each issue will contain an adjusted ranking of the top 10, much as the college football rankings reflect a reordering after each poll.
Based on Mike's analysis, we think FLY is a good choice for investors at these levels. If you want to learn more about Mike's Maximum Profit system, click here.
While the sector is hanging on by a thread, shares of this company have already started breaking down.
As the broader market bull looks ready to be put out to pasture, shares of this company are poised for a rebound.
The way I see it, either the fundamental story or the technical breakout should be enough for us to capture a potential 17.6% gain in the next few months.