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Materials stocks have mostly missed out on the broader market rally during the past year, which has taken the S&P 500 index almost 17% higher.
In stark contrast, United States Steel Corp. (NYSE: X) is down about 34% over the same period and is trying to base out at key support. On the latest downside push, the recent lows at $16.87 held above the 2009 extreme low at $16.66.
Since May 2012, the stock has traded in a range from $26 to $18, which marks pivot support on a weekly basis. While currently trading at the bottom of that range, the action in the past few sessions appears to be a failed downside test.
The first upside resistance sits at $22, the midpoint of the sideways trading range, about 22% above recent prices.
If you are comfortable holding on to this stock near its 52-week low for a potential recovery, then selling put options could allow you to collect income while you wait to get into the stock at a 5% discount. The high volatility and short amount of time until May options expiration make this a high-probability play.
Cash-Secured Put Selling Strategy
While the typical investor might use a limit order to buy a stock or ETF at a designated price or lower, the options trader can do one better by selling a cash-secured put.
This strategy has the same mathematical risk profile as a covered call. With put selling, there is an obligation to buy the stock at the strike price if it is assigned, allowing you to get into the stock at a discount. In fact, the true entry cost basis is even lower with the subtraction of the premium you earned from selling the puts.
And if the stock is not below the strike price at expiration, then the premium received is all profit. In other words, you're getting paid not to own the stock.
There are two rules traders must follow to be successful at put selling.
Rule One: Only sell puts on stocks you want to own.
The intention of this strategy is to be assigned the stock as a long-term investment (each option contract represents 100 shares). So make sure you have the funds in your account to buy the stock at the options strike price if a sell-off occurs. Paying in full ensures that no additional money is needed to hold the stock for potentially many months or even years until a price recovery occurs.
Rule Two: Sell either of the front two option expiration months to take advantage of time decay.
Collect premium every month on put sales until you are assigned shares at a cost-reduced basis. Every month that you keep the premium is money subtracted from your entry price.
Recommended Trade Setup: Sell to open X May 18 Puts at $1 or better.
This cash-secured put sale would assign long shares at $17 ($18 strike minus $1 premium), which is about 5% below X's current price and near its 52-week low, costing you $1,700 per option sold. Remember: Only sell this put if you want to own X stock at a discount to the current price. If you are assigned the shares, a June covered call can be sold against the stock to lower your cost basis even further.
If the stock does not fall below the strike price before expiration, then you keep the premium you collected, essentially getting paid not to buy the stock.
After being a market laggard for more than 15 years, management is finally about to unlock shareholder value.
Shares are on the verge of an upside breakout that could deliver double-digit profits over the next year.
As long as we're in an uptrend, I believe market leaders -- like this tech stock -- will be among the best trades.